Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the January meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 29, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$362

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 29, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 69% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 48% on 28 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 55% on 27 Jan 2026. $361.82 traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 4:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–80%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	68.5%
29 Jan 2026	51.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	No	100
tiancs	No	50
Indigo Signal 2966	No	35.71
flow-trader-at-optiver	No	34.36

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s January Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its January 29, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their January 29, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.