Analytics
Yes is at 78.5%, up 32 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 14 Feb 2026.
Across the 229 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 15 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 74%; a month before, 82.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 48% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?”.
$4.89K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $163.32, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 152 trades, $1.73K bought Yes and $178.42 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Gladius7 with 874 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 90.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 229 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.1K |
| Gladius7 | Yes | 874.45 |
| allenzzz | Yes | 331.91 |
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/i-beat-bush-epstein-email-sender-confirmed-as-in-2026
| flow-trader-at-optiver |
| No |
| 155.4 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 101.51 |
| J.p55 | No | 67.31 |
| sharingan-kakashi | Yes | 65.96 |
| jennylulu2016 | Yes | 62 |
| hilaobote | No | 51.34 |
| Recent-Blazer | Yes | 38.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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