Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 6 Jun 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 73 points up, to 99.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $3.13K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 6:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 22 May 2026 – 6 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ToadToad | No | 200 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 100 |
| lupin78 | No | 59.35 |
| dodgerlive | No | 20.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Lavincey | No | 15 |
| snookiemookie | No | 11.29 |
| puposalbani | No | 11 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 10 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 9.42 |
