Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.9%. Yes opened at 55% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 6 Jun 2026, the highest close was 97.9% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 55% on 22 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 84.5% on 23 May 2026. $347.79 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 6:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 22 May 2026 – 6 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 55.0% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | 97.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dodgerlive | No | 22.97 |
| snookiemookie | No | 11.03 |
| 48xsds | No | 10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Nexuus | No | 8 |
| Yukaii | No | 7 |
| Pestle | No | 6 |
| Snpe | No | 6 |
| Ignisss | No | 6 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 5 |
