Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $289.29 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 4.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.11K |
| CryptoAddict | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-semifinals-exact-matchup-20260708200539746
| caspar1248 | Yes | 12.04 |
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