
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 28 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 28% on 9 Oct 2024 and the low 5% on 28 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 13.5% on 11 Oct 2024. $65.05K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 28 Aug 2024 – 12 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2024 | 5.0% |
| 12 Oct 2024 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 123.19K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 3.18K |
| Trester | Yes | 289 |
| Preballin | Yes | 53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
2025 World Series Winner
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-series-champion-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ErickG | Yes | 35.71 |
| studdedwithdiamonds | Yes | 10 |