Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 27 Mar 2024. Before it settled, the high was 8.5% on 14 Apr 2024 and the low 0.1% on 1 May 2024. $26.91K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 36 points · 27 Mar 2024 – 1 May 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.35K |
| iioooiii | Yes | 2.58K |
| shinguang | Yes | 1.72K |
| zak3939 | Yes | 22.47 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Safe, previously known as Gnosis Safe, secures over $100 billion in assets and is set to potentially make its token transferable as soon as April 23 (see https://forum.safe.global/t/draft-unpause-safe-token-contract-enabling-transferability/4892). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Safe token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 week after its token is transferable. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." If the Safe token isn't transferable by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) metric of Safe 168 hours after the token is tradable according to CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/safe).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/safe-market-cap-fdv-one-week-after-launch
| Justtesting-341 | Yes | 0.3 |
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