Will the $SAFE market cap be greater than $5b one week after launch?

cryptoResolved

No, settled May 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$35.6K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 18% on 27 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 23% on 2 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6% on 24 Apr 2024. $35.56K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Mar 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Mar 2024	18.0%
1 May 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	10.35K
Antotimus	Yes	2.34K
0xp3t3r	Yes	593.32

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Safe, previously known as Gnosis Safe, secures over $100 billion in assets and is set to potentially make its token transferable as soon as April 23 (see https://forum.safe.global/t/draft-unpause-safe-token-contract-enabling-transferability/4892). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Safe token is greater than $5,000,000,000 1 week after its token is transferable. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." If the Safe token isn't transferable by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) metric of Safe 168 hours after the token is tradable according to CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/safe).