Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Nov 2025. $18.42K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 18, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 8.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.96K |
| idkcapital | Yes | 3.88K |
| Beyitr | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 983.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 14 - November 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-running-man-opening-weekend-box-office
| Sucubus | Yes | 794.1 |
| tailevent | Yes | 599.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 481.94 |
| paspor | Yes | 450.86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 263.83 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 132 |
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