Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?

Resolved

No, settled May 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$65.8K

Resolved

Settled

May 4, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 4 May 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 4 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points down, to 1.2% on 25 Apr 2026. $65.79K traded over the market's life.

41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 5, 12:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Mar 2026	15.5%
4 May 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
PaddyAlpha	Yes	1.91K
violentshadows	Yes	223.91
R24Rssa3	Yes	81.74
keyboard345	Yes	80

10 of 41 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.