Analytics
Resolved No on 26 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 26 May 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 25 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 2.6% on 24 May 2026. $450.22 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 27, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 May 2026 – 26 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 46.5% |
| 26 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 251.16 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.99 |
| Indigo Quasar 9AA9 | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the participant with the higher profit-and-loss (PnL) in the Phoenix Trade challenge announced by @vibhu at https://x.com/vibhu/status/2056162862838546750, when checked on May 25, 2026, at 23:59:59 UTC. The primary resolution source will be the standings shown by the public tracker at https://perp.so/. If the tracker shows that @drews888 has the higher PnL when checked at that time, this market resolves to "@drews888". If the tracker shows that @vibhu has the higher PnL when checked at that time, this market resolves to "@vibhu". If the tracker is unavailable, incomplete, or disputed, resolution may rely on other credible public evidence confirming the result at that time, including statements from @vibhu, @drews888, Phoenix, or public wallet data associated with the competition. If the result cannot be credibly confirmed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to "Other". The resolution source is the public tracker at https://perp.so/, corroborated by the original announcement post and other credible public sources where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-have-the-higher-pnl-in-the-phoenix-trade-challenge-on-may-25-2026
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
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