
Resolved Yes on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 51% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 5 Apr 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 41.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $21.01K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 9:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 5 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 5 Apr 2026 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.75K |
| misterwayne | No | 1.08K |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-india-decision-in-april
| No |
| 90.91 |
| luckybrosalwayswin | No | 79.46 |
| human.bean | No | 63.9 |
| LakhmirSinghManjeetKaur | No | 54.26 |
| Coral Scout 02C4 | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Utter-Downgrade | No | 15 |
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