Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 3 Jul 2025 and the low 27% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 45.5% on 3 Jul 2025. $10.02K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 2 Jul 2025 – 3 Jul 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 27.0% |
| 3 Jul 2025 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.6K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 423 |
| niklavs | No | 237.88 |
| razzy | No | 100 |
| Indigo Vector 6424 | No | 2.38 |
| Silver Raven 903F | No | 1.92 |
| tokiohotel | No | 0.01 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of House members that vote in favor of the next reconciliation bill in the House of Represenantitives by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first final passage vote (not a motion to proceed or a cloture vote), regardless of if the bill is passed. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-votes-will-reconciliation-bill-get-in-the-house
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