
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 11.7% on 18 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Jan 2025. $2.69M traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 4.0% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 372.65K |
| yanada420 | Yes | 6K |
| TriaKube | Yes | 3K |
NFC Champion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfc-champion
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| Yes |
| 2.54K |
| doublewordscore | Yes | 1.64K |
| IslandersFan | Yes | 900 |
| 9Jadlfkenadfl234 | Yes | 830.44 |
| kingfisher | Yes | 543.35 |
| Lunar Quasar A840 | Yes | 283.02 |
| cheifs | Yes | 280.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.