
Resolved No on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 19 Jan 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 19 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 13.5% on 14 Jan 2026. $9.93K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 19 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 5.0% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 248 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 248 |
| lanhelin | Yes | 228.33 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-price-on-january-19
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 138.86 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 83 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 75 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 75 |
| yzhaobk | Yes | 60.45 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Yes | 23.5 |
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