Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by December 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$80.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24.9% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47.9% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.4% on 26 Dec 2025. $80.32K traded over the market's life.

64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:30 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Dec 2025	24.9%
1 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Tired-Neuropsychiatry	Yes	5K
00000000AAAAAAAA	Yes	2.48K
Chewchewman	Yes	1.5K
zakirblack	Yes	1.28K

10 of 64 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $2 billion on any drawing between December 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on December 31, 2025, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.