Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 149 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 24 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 14% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 54.5% on 24 Nov 2025.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 24 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 32.5% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 1.79K |
| Misty Summit 3196 | No | 1K |
| Keen Tide 33DB | No | 506.53 |
This is a polymarket to predict whether the listed NBA team will win more games than their projected number in the 2025–26 regular season. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins more than their projected number of regular-season games. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the team becomes mathematically unable to exceed their projected win total before the season ends, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 NBA regular season is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-win-totals-over-or-under
| LukeDelta | No | 436.53 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| 0x44vanz | No | 100 |
| Crimson Maven 5AE5 | No | 100 |
| thvrau | No | 91.51 |
| Idealistic-Interject | No | 46.62 |
| leegunner | No | 45.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
