Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 6% on 11 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2023 to 18 Nov 2023, the highest close was 7.5% on 12 Nov 2023 and the lowest 1% on 18 Nov 2023. $34.11K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 11 Nov 2023 – 18 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2023 | 6.0% |
| 18 Nov 2023 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Michalesku | Yes | 18.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On November 10, 2023, Poloniex was hacked for around $120 million dollars. Shortly afterwards Justin Sun tweeted to the unknown hacker that they have 7 days to return the funds before engaging law enforcement (see https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1722951876986204259). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 80% of the money hacked from Poloniex is returned by Nov 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Poloniex and Justin Sun, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-poloniex-hacker-return-the-stolen-funds-by-nov-17
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