
Resolved No on 21 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 18 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 May 2024 to 21 May 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 18 May 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 21 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.7 points down, to 0.9% on 19 May 2024. $33.95K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 5:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 May 2024 – 21 May 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 May 2024 | 8.5% |
| 21 May 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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