Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.1%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 23 Jan 2025, the highest close was 27.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.3% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 20.2% on 17 Jan 2025. $8.04K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 23 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 27.5% |
| 23 Jan 2025 | 7.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Falcon F196 | Yes | 50 |
| Lebin2rous | No | 1.02 |
| lesteri | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over which movies will be nominated for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscar-best-picture-nominees
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 0.02 |
| yaemgobvmop | No | 0.02 |
