Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 4 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 2.5% on 9 Feb 2026.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 11:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 97.22K |
| Teeming-Wildlife | Yes | 2.18K |
| Cobalt Quasar CFF0 | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45-60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the People’s Party (PPLE) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the People’s Party (PPLE), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-pple-in-2026-thailand-legislative-election
| Yes |
| 1.82K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.68K |
| Impure-Moon | Yes | 1.52K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 1.15K |
| xxl1i | Yes | 1K |
| Rahma25 | Yes | 913.36 |
| ytttrad | Yes | 847.54 |
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