Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 13% on 12 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 7% on 13 Jan 2025. $52.01K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.17K |
| Popular-Goose | Yes | 850 |
| Poly1988 | Yes | 300 |
| Grubby-Stepdaughter | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the total acreage burned by the Palisades wildfire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-palisades-wildfire-burn-in-total
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PolyDump | Yes | 24.38 |
| eieio | Yes | 0.01 |
