Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 28 Jan 2025 and the lowest 39.5% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 65.5% on 13 Jan 2025. $67.57K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 48.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.17K |
| Uniform-Ficlet | No | 1.02K |
| ACDC111 | No | 142.86 |
| Gopher75 | Yes | 107.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the total acreage burned by the Palisades wildfire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-palisades-wildfire-burn-in-total
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crepes4lunch | No | 14.03 |
| TTT1812 | No | 8 |
| eieio | No | 0.03 |
| mr.oziVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 0.01 |
| Swift Scout A52F | Yes | 0.01 |
| megagrim | Yes | 0.01 |
