Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 96% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 19 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 19 Jan 2025 and the lowest 91.5% on 15 Jan 2025. $131.64K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 4:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 19 Jan 2025, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 96.0% |
| 19 Jan 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yyymmmm41 | No | 1.22K |
| barmnokbpmxd | No | 1.03K |
| Tamont42 | No | 1K |
| Konmoret76 | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting when the Palisades fire will reach 50% containment.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained
| chokopiegojo | No | 1K |
| s4vgeura24 | No | 1K |
| Popular-Goose | No | 272 |
| kkkkllllll35 | No | 217.39 |
| TTT1812 | No | 27.08 |
| uuyyy | No | 22.61 |
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