Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 33.5% on 9 Jan 2025 and the low 0.2% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 20.5% on 10 Jan 2025. $67.87K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 7:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 13 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 33.5% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Popular-Goose | Yes | 3.41K |
| Torn-Entirety | Yes | 1.25K |
| BigRobin | Yes | 616.58 |
| quqaoo | Yes | 29.78 |
| tikto-k | No | 6.17 |
| ShawshankInception | Yes | 4.35 |
| mar1nettik | No | 0.09 |
| HumbleGamble | No | 0.04 |
| Sassy1 | No | 0.02 |
| gandalf | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting when the Palisades fire will reach 50% containment.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained
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