Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 100% on 31 Jan 2026. $20.47K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 25.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moon-k58-lad | No | 5.41K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.02K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 601 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of January 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of January 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/argentina-official-usd-exchange-rate-end-of-january-385
| No |
| 586.55 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 376 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 321 |
| Cheap-Starboard | No | 285.71 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 156 |
| Vikodin | No | 121.59 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 110 |
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