Analytics
Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.
“Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?” is a crypto prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
Trading is open until Jan 1, 2027 UTC. As of Sep 28, 12:48 PM UTC, Yes trades at 40.0¢, a 40.0% implied chance, $291.84 traded in the last 24 hours, $41.96 resting in the order book, a 77.6% bid-ask spread.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 229 daily price points from Jan 21, 2026 UTC to Sep 28, 2026 UTC (Yes between 0.9% and 50.0%); 16 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 96.4% of the loaded shares; 30 recent public fills from 18 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 229 points · 21 Jan 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 41.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 38.9% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 139.9 |
| AJSV | Yes | 40.55 |
| S888 | Yes |
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-chain-will-the-nyse-choose-for-tokenized-securities
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| 30 |
| Beeboiz | Yes | 22.99 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 11.86 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| tedibaba | Yes | 6.19 |
| ghostpeople3 | Yes | 6.11 |
| voluspa | Yes | 5 |
| mrugaikwad | Yes | 3.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
