Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 22 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 8% on 23 Apr 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 8 May 2025. $129.44K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 22 Apr 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2025 | 6.5% |
| 8 May 2025 | 3.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.04K |
| Mariamagenes | Yes | 1.25K |
| time2trade | Yes | 896.13 |
| sdnyco | Yes | 184.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of rounds of voting cast in the papal conclave that results in the election of the next bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-rounds-to-elect-next-pope
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| eufoniuz | Yes | 175.88 |
| Scoppiano | Yes | 146.21 |
| ragstoriches69 | Yes | 88.81 |
| Divano | Yes | 81.56 |
| Maxi32 | Yes | 30.11 |
| Rokko | Yes | 19.23 |
