Question 1

What is the “Will the next Pope be named Adrian?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will the next Pope be named Adrian? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will be the next Pope's papal name?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the official papal name chosen by the next Pope of the Roman Catholic Church. Only names that exactly match the listed option will qualify. Compound names will not count for the single name (e.g. "John Paul" would not count for “John”). If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($8.73K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 2 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 10, 12:22 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-next-pope-be-named-adrian) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
May 8, 12:00 AM	1.5%	1.5%
May 7, 12:00 AM	0.7%	0.7%
May 6, 12:00 AM	0.7%	0.7%

Will the next Pope be named Adrian?

What will be the next Pope's papal name?

Questions about this market