
Resolved No on 7 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 27% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 4 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.8% on 6 Feb 2026. $17.07K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 7 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 27.0% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 342 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 275 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 231 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 178 |
| Aggressive-Armrest | Yes | 120.44 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 108 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 60 |
| lfggggggg | Yes | 24.39 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-the-us-iran-meet
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