Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19% on 28 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2025 to 17 May 2025, the highest close was 24% on 29 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $2.09M traded over the market's life.
187 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 1:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 28 Mar 2025 – 17 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2025 | 19.0% |
| 17 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 974K |
| YHM | Yes | 66.41K |
| Tuggybee | Yes | 32.89K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition that forms after the next Canadian Parliament after the election. The government will be considered formed once the legislative process for forming a government is completed and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. If the next Canadian Government after the election is not announced by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Canadian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-government-of-canada
| Yes |
| 21.57K |
| WeAreSoBack | Yes | 17.44K |
| gummyfish | Yes | 15.12K |
| Woodman13 | Yes | 14.41K |
| rupeshs94 | Yes | 13.64K |
| Mollywaddle11 | Yes | 13.1K |
| lkuipers | Yes | 10.03K |
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