Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 21 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2025 to 17 Aug 2025, the highest close was 17.5% on 21 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 6% on 23 Jun 2025. $2.9K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 18, 8:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 21 Jun 2025 – 17 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2025 | 17.5% |
| 17 Aug 2025 | 2.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 517 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 18.61 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 4.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the Grand Final Winner of the 2025 National Rugby League.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/national-rugby-league-winner
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