Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 19 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2023 to 2 Nov 2023, the highest close was 46.5% on 19 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 31% on 20 Oct 2023. $4.79K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 19 Oct 2023 – 2 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2023 | 46.5% |
| 2 Nov 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Adso | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The New York Times, on any of its official platforms, definitively states that Israel was not responsible for the hospital blast in Gaza. This could be in the form of a corrected article, a retraction, an updated headline, or a public statement explicitly attributing the blast to a different party (Hamas, PIJ, etc.). If The New York Times does not make such a definitive statement by November 1, 2023, the market will resolve to "No". Official New York Times publications and statements will be used to determine the resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-york-times-definitively-state-israel-was-not-behind-the-gaza-hospital-blast
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