Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 4.5% on 27 Jul 2026. $2.11K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 9.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.19K |
| archi54570 | Yes | 1.21K |
| balthazar | Yes | 209.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-20260723184627863
| Yes |
| 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 13 |
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