Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 31% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 47% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 43.5% on 28 Aug 2026. $6.5K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 31.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.19K |
| sydjs | Yes | 367.7 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 310.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-20260723184627863
| Yes |
| 209.98 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 149.99 |
| Solar Raven 714F | Yes | 113.33 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 108.33 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
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