Will the most viewed episode of The Five for the week of August 10 - August 16 have fewer than 3 million viewers?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$702

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 26% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 20 Aug 2026, the highest close was 26% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 21% on 16 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 21% on 16 Aug 2026. $702.12 traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 11:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 20 Aug 2026, chart shows 15%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Aug 2026	26.0%
20 Aug 2026	23.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.	Yes	100
Indigo Signal 2966	No	61.98
Bodytobody	Yes	50

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of The Five for the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of The Five appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).