Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 146 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 21 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 24 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50% on 24 Oct 2025.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 25.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.93K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 225.56 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 225.01 |
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference standings. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Western Conference. If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Western Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-western-conference-1-seed
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 191.52 |
| paspor | Yes | 130.47 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 107.81 |
| Dirty-Picturesque | Yes | 77.69 |
| rabmo2 | Yes | 58 |
| 0x152 | Yes | 30 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 22.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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