Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $7.68K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 9.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.72K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1K |
| Remote-Reset | Yes | 726.93 |
| Trader6262 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the method of victory for the winning team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. "Regular Time" and "Extra Time" include any applicable stoppage time attached to the end of the relevant period. If this match is cancelled or postponed to a date after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is declared by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-method-of-victory-20260716201406507
| baseline-cro | Yes | 115.38 |
| Neon Pulse 6291 | Yes | 83.33 |
| Emerald Horizon E963 | Yes | 63.8 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 61.12 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 45.8 |
| PPMT | Yes | 45 |
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