Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.2%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.2% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 74.6% on 27 Sep 2026. $23.29K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 95.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.51K |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 272.9 |
| balthazar | No | 170.09 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-on-september-30-20260630173100174
| No |
| 100 |
| atomikl | No | 80 |
| Bright Kestrel A127 | No | 55.45 |
| Rapid Maven E07A | Yes | 30 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
| PPMT | No | 29.95 |
| Brave-Vegetation | No | 29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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