Will the median home value in Chicago be between $333,000 and $336,000 on April 1?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$950

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 4.5% on 16 Mar 2026. $949.68 traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 12:48 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 28 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Feb 2026	50.0%
28 Mar 2026	1.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	536.18
TENETENET	Yes	500
cry.eth2	Yes	149.33

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)