Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 11 Dec 2025, the highest close was 32.5% on 15 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 32.5% on 15 Nov 2025. $25.37K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 11 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 5.5% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.86K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.72K |
| Glistening-Possibility | Yes | 1.1K |
| Blackcusack4 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NBA Cup. If at any point this team is eliminated from contention to win the NBA Cup, this market will automatically resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-cup-winner-164
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| holocene | Yes | 333.76 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 300 |
| Golden Tide 16F3 | Yes | 208.93 |
| masterbettor | Yes | 200 |
| cornrn | Yes | 133 |
| watchme159 | Yes | 99.99 |
