Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 27% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 38.5% on 31 Jan 2026. $61.28K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 53.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fartard | No | 5K |
| Archibaltus | No | 1.38K |
| narukehublot | No | 1K |
| Hot-Anyone | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price
| RadarMentions | No | 844.84 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 428 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 267 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 263 |
| ShyGuy1 | No | 250 |
| KARACAC | No | 199.99 |
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