Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$549.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 16, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 82% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.3% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 82% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 91.5% on 14 Jan 2026. $549.71K traded over the market's life.

85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 2 Jan 2026 – 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 75%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Jan 2026	82.0%
15 Feb 2026	98.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Fartard	No	11K
Pleasing-Spyglass	No	8.05K
RadarMentions	No	3.53K

10 of 85 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-edition-rare-holofoil-logan-paul-break-4-chajdvc5).

Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/live/ZLoaVZ4B6kE