Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$79.5K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 11, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 11 Oct 2025, the highest close was 25% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 2.6% on 17 Aug 2025. $79.49K traded over the market's life.

47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 11 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Aug 2025	25.0%
11 Oct 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	57.5K
Ill-Cattle	Yes	4.93K
Cookedtan	Yes	4.13K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Taylor Swift's new album 'The Life of a Showgirl' is scheduled to be released on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's new album 'The Life of a Showgirl' has less than 2,500,000 in sales for the chart date of 'The Life of a Showgirl' debut week, on the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "Activity" once the named list is finalized. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming. If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'The Life of a Showgirl', another credible resolution source may be chosen.