Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?

cultureResolved

No, settled Oct 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.9K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 3, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 23% on 25 Sep 2026. $7.86K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tradetosurvive1	Yes	476.76
Martys	Yes	419.98
GuyFromTinder	Yes	280.7
Dr.PNL	Yes	240.94

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" (Taylor Swift / Republic Records) is expected to release September 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.