Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 14 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 15% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 11% on 28 Oct 2025. $194.8K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 14 Aug 2025 – 2 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | 7.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.74K |
| wiggles13 | Yes | 719.75 |
| annoyinglowie | Yes | 685 |
This market will resolve according to the number of consecutive weeks that The Life of a Showgirl holds the #1 spot on the Billboard 200. If the album does not debut as #1 or is otherwise not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (0). Consecutive weeks are counted based on Billboard’s official weekly Billboard 200 chart publications. The resolution source will be based on Billboard’s official Billboard 200 chart.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-straight-weeks-will-the-life-of-a-showgirl-be-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 450.99 |
| CuervoMachetes | Yes | 333.33 |
| heyuuuuuu | Yes | 222.22 |
| Alec3410 | Yes | 206.05 |
| naiaalmar | Yes | 200 |
| sashyaps | Yes | 125 |
| Quintessential-Police | Yes | 122.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
