Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.4%. Yes opened at 4% on 1 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 1 May 2025 to 3 May 2025, the highest close was 4.6% on 3 May 2025 and the lowest 1.8% on 2 May 2025. $24.44K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 1 May 2025 – 3 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | 4.0% |
| 3 May 2025 | 4.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.53K |
| lonewolfkiller | Yes | 8.24K |
| gandalf | Yes | 40 |
| theamityaff | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Liberal–National Coalition wins in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election. If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/). Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-liberalnational-coalition-wins-in-australian-election
| bigboops | No | 0.01 |
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