Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 3% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 41.7% on 12 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 41.7% on 12 May 2025. $12.49K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 3.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 3.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.68K |
| cryptomikedre | Yes | 500 |
| Cajetan | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the Liberal Party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liberal-party-of-vote-in-canada-election
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