Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2025 to 18 Apr 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 10 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.9% on 14 Apr 2025. $1.53K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 10 Apr 2025 – 18 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2025 | 25.5% |
| 18 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liberal-vs-conservative-polling-margin-next-friday
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