Will the Labor Party win by 10–19 seats?

Resolved

No, settled May 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.9K

Resolved

Settled

May 4, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 16 Apr 2025 to 4 May 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 16 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 4 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 0.2% on 4 May 2025. $8.89K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 5, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 4 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Apr 2025	39.5%
4 May 2025	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	9.87K
mantou11	No	0.03
NiGriMa671	No	0.02

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).